Tonight’s matchups in the NCAA tournament has some intriguing games and are worth taking a closer look. Here is the way I see these four games playing out…
Midwest Region
Can Northern Iowa keep their Cinderella story going?
Tennessee vs. Ohio State
This game comes down to who has the most dominant player between the two. Ohio St. has possibly the best player in the tournament in Evan Turner. Turner is the type of player that can carry his team on his back. The Buckeyes have taken care of business so far and is a team focused on the Final Four with Kansas being knocked out of their region. Both teams have a lot of talent, but the Buckeyes have the outside shooting along with Turner that will be the difference in this game.
Prediction: Ohio State
Northern Iowa vs. Michigan State
Northern Iowa is becoming the Cinderella story of this tournament with their recent victory over the top seeded Kansas Jayhawks. They have all the ingredients that it takes to win this game and get to the Final Four ala George Mason a couple of years ago. They have a lot of momentum and confidence that should carry them to victory. The Spartans showed some resiliency in their victory over Maryland inspite losing their best player Kalin Lucas. No Lucas and a couple of more beat up players spells a loss. Northern Iowa keeps the slipper on.
Prediction: Northern Iowa
South Region
St. Mary’s vs. Baylor
St. Mary’s is another intriguing story in this tourney and are coming off a impressive victory over Villanova. They are a patient, good shooting team that make good decisions on offense.. They will need to play their offensive best against a very good and athletic defensive team in the Baylor Bears. Baylor has won their first tournament games in 60 years. Baylor came in as a number three seed and are playing near home in Houston. The combination of being near home and hunger will propel them to victory.
Prediction: Baylor
Duke vs. Purdue
Duke has looked impressive on the defensive side so far and will pair up against another stellar defensive team in Purdue. Purdue is another team that has showed resiliency in their two close victories including their last one against Texas A+ M in overtime.They have advanced without their star Robbie Hummel. Duke will make it too hard on Purdue to score, and Hummel will be sorely missed in this one. Duke should roll in this one.
Prediction: Duke
Hopefully these games are both exciting and competitive. These type of matchups make March Madness live up to the hype year after year.
Texas A&M senior guard Derrick Roland was reported to be in satisfactory condition after emergency surgery after a gruesome injury suffered in a Dec. 22nd game. Roland broke his tibia and fibula in the Aggies’ 73-64 loss Tuesday night to the Washington Huskies. A video replay of the injury is now available on YouTube.
Roland was underneath the basket when he put up a layup that was contested by Quincy Poindexter of Washington. Roland came down to the floor awkwardly and collapsed immediately to the floor. Echoes of snapping bones could be heard throughout the arena and A&M coach Mark Turgeon immediately ran onto the floor as play continued on the other end of the court.
Video clips and pictures of the injury show Roland’s leg snapped in 90-degree wrong direction. Reports noted the injury was so severe that broken bones pierced Roland’s skin. Roland was eventually removed from the arena on a stretcher as his teammates were visibly shaken by the injury to their leader.
ESPN’s Andy Katz reported earlier today that Turgeon sent him a text message communicating that Roland was doing well and in satisfactory condition at the hospital. A metal rod was placed into his leg to aid in the recovery process.
Here’s wishing Derrick Roland all the best on a speedy recovery.
The college bowl schedule kicks off today with two opening games on the schedule as Wyoming meets Fresno State in the New Mexico Bowl and Central Florida hooks up with Rutgers in the St. Petersburg Bowl. College football fans will be treated to 34 games over 20 days culminating with Alabama and Texas deciding this year’s national champions.
This year’s matchups pair what appear to be some with three teams favored by double-digit spreads and twelve team favored by a touchdown or more. While Vegas is seeing a lot of mismatches, there appears to be some great upsets brewing. I am projecting right now seven underdogs achieving outright victories and sixteen underdogs covering the spread.
My biggest underdog covers include SMU, Boston College, Northwestern, East Carolina and Boise State. My biggest underdog outright victories are Texas A&M and Stanford.
Bowl
Matchup
Spread
Winner
Cover
New Mexico Bowl
Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Fresno State by 11
Fresno State
Fresno State
St. Petersburg Bowl
Central Florida vs. Rutgers
EVEN
Central Florida
Central Florida
New Orleans Bowl
Middle Tenn St vs.Southern Miss
Southern Miss by 4
Southern Miss
Middle Tenn St
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Oregon State
Oregon State by 3
BYU
BYU
Poinsettia Bowl
Utah vs. California
EVEN
Utah
Utah
Hawaii Bowl
SMU vs. Nevada
Nevada by 15
Nevada
SMU
Little Caesars Bowl
Ohio vs. Marshall
Ohio by 3
Ohio
Ohio
Meineke Care Bowl
North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh by 3
Pitt
North Carolina
Emerald Bowl
Boston College vs. USC
USC by 9
USC
BC
Music City Bowl
Kentucky vs. Clemson
Clemson by 7½
Clemson
Clemson
Independence Bowl
Texas A&M vs. Georgia
Georgia by 7
Texas A&M
Texas A&M
Eagle Bank Bowl
UCLA vs. Temple
EVEN
Temple
Temple
Champs Sports Bowl
Wisconsin vs. Miami
Miami by 3
Miami
Miami
Humanitarian Bowl
Bowling Green vs. Idaho
Bowling Green by 2
Bowling Green
Bowling Green
Holiday Bowl
Nebraska vs. Arizona
Arizona by 1½
Nebraska
Nebraska
Armed Forces Bowl
Air Force vs. Houston
Houston by 4½
Air Force
Air Force
Sun Bowl
Stanford vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma by 8
Stanford
Stanford
Texas Bowl
Navy vs. Missouri
EVEN
Navy
Navy
Insight Bowl
Iowa State vs. Minnesota
Minnesota by 3
Minnesota
Minnesota
Chick Fil-A Bowl
Tennessee vs. Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech by 4½
Virginia Tech
Tennessee
Outback Bowl
Northwestern vs. Auburn
Auburn by 7½
Auburn
Northwestern
Capital One Bowl
LSU vs. Penn St.
Penn St. by 3
Penn State
Penn State
Gator Bowl
Florida State vs. West Virginia
West Virginia by 3
West Virginia
West Virginia
Rose Bowl
Ohio State vs. Oregon
Oregon by 3½
Oregon
Oregon
Sugar Bowl
Cincinnati vs. Florida
Florida by 11
Florida
Florida
International Bowl
Northern Illinois vs. South Florida
South Florida by 7
South Florida
South Florida
Papa John’s Bowl
Connecticut vs. South Carolina
South Carolina by 4½
Connecticut
Connecticut
Cotton Bowl
Mississippi vs. Oklahoma State
Mississippi by 3
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
Liberty Bowl
Arkansas vs. East Carolina
Arkansas by 8
Arkansas
East Carolina
Alamo Bowl
Michigan State vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech by 8
Texas Tech
Texas Tech
Fiesta Bowl
Boise State vs. TCU
TCU by 7
TCU
Boise State
Orange Bowl
Iowa vs. Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech by 4
Georgia Tech
Iowa
Gmac Bowl
Troy vs. Central Michigan
Central Michigan by 3
Central Michigan
Central Michigan
BCS Championship
Texas vs. Alabama
Alabama by 5
Alabama
Alabama
Looking at conference performance, here’s how I see it playing out:
Bowl
Matchup
Atlantic Coast
4-3
Big East
4-2
Big Ten
2-4
Big 12
4-4
C-USA
2-4
Mountain West
4-1
Pac-10
3-4
Southeastern
4-6
Western Athletic
2-2
The SEC might be the power conference, but they got some unfavorable matchup. I think the Big 12 and Big East are going to surprise some opponents. The Mountain West is going to do some damage and really stoke the argument that they deserve an automatic BCS invite.
As for the National Championship game, I am seeing a major blowout. Given Texas’ performance against ranked opponents and closing out its season on some very poor play, this just seems like a mismatch of grand proportion. TCU and Cincinnati were much more deserving of a spot in the Championship Game and Alabama is going to apply a major smackdown that will likely drop Colt McCoy’s NFL stock drop tremendously when he loses the game single-handedly.
Overall, this bowl season looks to be exciting. We have a lot of underdogs with solid shots at upsets which should make the next 20 days enjoyable for all to watch.